Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.110269 0.123244 0.136530 0.151112 0.166628 0.182608 0.200272
2024-10-06 0.095070 0.113143 0.132334 0.154098 0.177967 0.203225 0.231856
2024-10-13 0.082633 0.104074 0.127585 0.155000 0.185818 0.219144 0.257659
2024-10-20 0.072287 0.096060 0.122916 0.155020 0.191897 0.232511 0.280210
2024-10-27 0.063081 0.088371 0.117773 0.153750 0.195893 0.243069 0.299259
2024-11-03 0.056699 0.083386 0.115231 0.155000 0.202374 0.256136 0.320916
2024-11-10 0.052544 0.080710 0.115096 0.158799 0.211598 0.272198 0.345909
2024-11-17 0.047132 0.075945 0.112004 0.158686 0.215915 0.282359 0.363950
2024-11-24 0.043568 0.073272 0.111262 0.161234 0.223253 0.295951 0.385921
2024-12-01 0.039841 0.070058 0.109576 0.162392 0.228740 0.307239 0.405121
2024-12-08 0.036015 0.066387 0.107041 0.162259 0.232473 0.316311 0.421620
2024-12-15 0.032960 0.063559 0.105420 0.163132 0.237326 0.326646 0.439573
2024-12-22 0.029286 0.059655 0.102298 0.162117 0.239991 0.334616 0.455127
2024-12-29 0.027321 0.058167 0.102385 0.165249 0.247876 0.348983 0.478449
2025-01-05 0.024859 0.055686 0.100922 0.166197 0.252896 0.359789 0.497467
2025-01-12 0.022361 0.052917 0.098876 0.166222 0.256629 0.368946 0.514457
2025-01-19 0.019742 0.049685 0.095961 0.164898 0.258485 0.375681 0.528431
2025-01-26 0.018040 0.047861 0.095010 0.166204 0.263736 0.386650 0.547621
2025-02-02 0.017119 0.047342 0.095977 0.170172 0.272509 0.402089 0.572392
2025-02-09 0.015345 0.045074 0.094132 0.170055 0.275764 0.410484 0.588399
2025-02-16 0.014316 0.044114 0.094258 0.172714 0.282729 0.423615 0.610342
2025-02-23 0.013075 0.042604 0.093425 0.173923 0.287692 0.434167 0.629066
2025-03-02 0.011685 0.040629 0.091728 0.173785 0.290765 0.442251 0.644679